Deep Recession? We're Not Betting On It.

In this edition of Evergreen Chartbook, we dive into the driving force behind the recent rally in financial markets and our outlook for the rest of the year. Near-term, we remain cautious since this sharp uptick we’ve seen of late is happening alongside deteriorating economic data. On a longer-term basis, we think falling inflation expectations and lower commodity prices will help stabilize market sentiment. Additionally, consumer and corporate strength will likely pave the way for the US economy to emerge from this economic slowdown on solid footing. We continue to believe a near-term recession will be shallow and short-lived. That’s why we think any material weakness markets experience in the back half of the year will present a strong buying opportunity.

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Jeff Dicks, CFA
Co-Chief Investment Officer; Partner
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Gherman Howell
Senior Analyst
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DISCLOSURE: This material has been distributed solely for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or to participate in any trading strategy. Any opinions, recommendations, and assumptions included in this presentation are based upon current market conditions, are subject to change, and reflect the personal opinions of David Hay (an employee of Evergreen Gavekal) as of the date of this publication. This publication does not necessarily reflect the views of Evergreen’s Investment Committee as a whole. All investment decisions for Evergreen clients are made by the Evergreen Investment Committee. All material presented is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed, and Evergreen makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness. Securities highlighted or discussed in this letter have been selected to illustrate the author’s investment approach and/or market outlook and are not intended to represent Evergreen’s performance or be an indicator for how Evergreen or its clients have performed or may perform in the future. Each security discussed in this letter has been selected solely for this purpose and has not been selected on the basis of performance or any performance-related criteria. The securities discussed herein do not represent an entire portfolio and, in the aggregate, may only represent a small percentage of a Evergreen’s client holdings. Evergreen actively manages client portfolios and securities discussed in this communication may or may not be held in such portfolios at any given time. Before making an investment decision, the reader should do their own research and/or consult with their financial advisor. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All investments involve risk, including the loss of principal.

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