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September 7, 2023
What Are Banks Saying?
If money represents the lifeblood of the economic world, then commercial banks are the beating heart that pump it around the system. This is why several Gavekal indicators—notably our velocity indicator—are built around the absolute and relative performance of bank stocks. One rule of thumb states that a country or region in which bank stocks […]
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August 31, 2023
Is Hardware Really That Hard?
The following article was originally published on Forbes.com by Evergreen Gavekal's Technology Advisor, Michael Johnston. There’s an overused cliché in the tech world that “hardware is hard.” The sentiment is often used to emphasize the perceived differences between building a hardware company versus a software company. The argument that “hardware is hard” usually centers around the fact […]
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August 24, 2023
Reviewing Your Will
Your estate plan is an ever-evolving set of documents. Reviewing your will is an essential part of ensuring your legacy plan reflects life transitions as well as shifts in tax and estate law. We recommend evaluating your legacy goals and reviewing estate documents every 3-5 years. Below are a few questions to ask when reading […]
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August 17, 2023
Strong Economic Momentum Leads to New Bull Market for Stocks
This edition of Evergreen Chartbook was recorded in a webinar format where Co-Chief Investment Officer Jeff Dicks discusses key charts driving this year's resurging stock market, current risks facing financial markets, and how Evergreen is positioning client portfolios.  DISCLOSURE: Securities highlighted or discussed in this communication are mentioned for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation […]
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August 10, 2023
Will Soft Landing Expectations Propel Markets to New Highs?
This week, we're presenting a thoughtful conversation between David Rosenberg, Founder and President of Rosenberg Research, and David Hay, co-CIO of Evergreen Gavekal. During the discussion, the two talk about recession indicators, investment implications, and whether soft landing expectation will propel markets to new highs. The discussion was recorded on July 18th, 2023 and is moderated by […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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August 3, 2023
US Treasuries’ ‘Risk-Free’ Status
In downgrading US government debt from AAA to AA+, Fitch cited a fiscal deterioration in the next three years, a growing general debt burden and bad governance due to repeated political standoffs over the debt ceiling issue. Coming a day after the US Treasury said new debt issuance would rise to US$1,007bn in 3Q23, up […]
By: Tan Kai Xian
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July 27, 2023
Does A Shift In Tone Signal Opportunity In China?
The investment landscape in China has always been characterized by uncertainty, as vast opportunities coexist alongside significant regulatory complexities and political considerations. While much remains unchanged in that regard, softening rhetoric from Chinese policymakers has given rise to the idea that beleaguered technology companies could be near a turning point. On July 7th, the China […]
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July 6, 2023
The Surprises Of 2023
We are now past the halfway point of the year and, like every year, events have occurred that were either predictable, understandable in hindsight, or genuinely came out of the blue. In the following pages, I will review the more important developments thus far in 2023, and take a stab at assessing what they tell […]
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June 29, 2023
Piece by Piece
“Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.” – Warren Buffett Technology-focused investment firm Tiger Global Management has long been heralded as one of the industry’s top private equity investors. Since launching its private equity fund in 2003, the firm has deployed capital into more than 1,000 companies across nine […]
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June 22, 2023
Utilizing a Health Savings Account
Healthcare costs in America have continued to increase steadily. The Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates that 8.1% of personal expenditures are spent on healthcare, up from 5.9% in 2004.[1] These average out to roughly $13,000 per person annually[2]. Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) were created to help address our country's mounting healthcare expenses by offering unique […]
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