June 15, 2023
Why You Shouldn’t Care So Much Where Stocks Are Headed……
“A man is only as good as his tools.” ― Emmert Wolf I’m amazed by how many investors seem to fixate on the stock market, while many other asset classes comprise an equal or more significant portion of their overall wealth. News outlets fuel the hysteria by dissecting every microscopic piece of data as if it will […]
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June 8, 2023
Public Tech Markets Rally, Will Private Markets Follow Suit?
The tech-heavy Nasdaq has had an exceptional start to 2023, rising nearly 28% year-to-date. Last Friday, the Nasdaq capped its sixth consecutive week of gains, marking its longest winning streak since 2020. Nvidia's remarkable contribution to last week's risk-on run can’t be overlooked as the company briefly became the ninth-ever member to join the trillion-dollar […]
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June 1, 2023
The After-Effects Of The Debt Ceiling Deal
Saturday’s 11th-hour deal to suspend the US federal debt limit until 2025 will bring down the curtain on the political drama over the debt ceiling until after the 2024 election. But for investors, the story is far from over. The ripple-effects of the debt ceiling deal on financial markets and monetary policy are only just […]
By: Will Denyer
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May 25, 2023
The Importance Of Falling US Mortgage Rates
By Tan Kai Xian US mortgage rates have eased slightly in the last six months, with the average interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages falling 70bp from 7.1% to 6.4%. Arguably that’s no big deal, given the rate is still more than double its level at the beginning of 2021. But moderating inflationary pressure, the […]
By: Tan Kai Xian
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May 18, 2023
The US Recession Debate
In this edition of Evergreen Chartbook, we will examine both sides of the debate surrounding whether the US is headed towards a recession. These charts will highlight how conflicting many of the data points are, and help explain why the Fed’s Tod Barkin described this as “the most predicted potential recession in memory”. Ultimately, while […]
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May 11, 2023
College Funding Strategies
Saving for college can be daunting. Many parents are saving for their children’s education, but don’t know how prepared they will be for college costs in the future. Parents face the question of how much to save and which funding vehicles to use. Those with young children have uncertainty regarding what the future will look […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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May 4, 2023
Could AI Steal Your Job?
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been one of the hottest topics in business, finance, and technology over the past two quarters. While the concept of AI has been around since the 1950s, it wasn’t until November 2022 that AI went mainstream and became a “household topic” with the emergence of ChatGPT. Like many emerging technologies that […]
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April 27, 2023
Blackstone foresees a 'golden moment' in private credit after bank failures [PitchBook]
Last month, Evergreen made the argument that private credit and PE firms would benefit from the slew of bank failures triggered by Silicon Valley Bank's (SVB) sudden collapse. In its recent Q1 2023 earnings call, Blackstone, the world's largest alternative asset manager, reaffirmed this belief. During its call, Blackstone's CEO, Stephen Schwarzman, stated that "[Blackstone] believe[s] this could […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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April 20, 2023
Believe in Inflation Expectations
By Tan Kai Xian The US inflation data for March painted a picture of moderating price pressures, with the year-on-year increases in consumer prices, producer prices, and import prices all easing. But the messaging around inflation remains discordant. In recent days, financial luminaries including JP Morgan boss Jamie Dimon, Larry Fink at Blackrock and Bank […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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April 13, 2023
Washington State Capital Gains Tax
In March 2023 the Washington State Supreme Court upheld the capital gains tax in a 7-2 ruling, citing that it is an excise tax, not an income tax, and thus legal under state law. This new tax brings significant complexity to tax planning and filing, as well as navigating the new website to pay the […]
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