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September 25, 2013
August 24, 2012
"We live in a technological golden age but in a monetary and fiscal dark age.  While physicists discover the so-called God particle, governments print and borrow by the trillions.  Science and technology may hurtle forward, but money and banking race backward."  -JAMES GRANT, AUTHOR OF GRANT'S INTEREST RATE OBSERVER. POINTS TO PONDER 1.  Despite lower […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
September 14, 2012
"So there may well be reasons for market enthusiasm, but they certainly have nothing to do with the economy. As we saw in 2006-2007, the markets and the economy can enter into a trial separation for a period of time, but they never get divorced."  -DAVID ROSENBERG, CHIEF ECONOMIST AND STRATEGIST, GLUSKIN SHEFF This week’s […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
September 21, 2012
"What we need is a central bank that has the humility not to do what it cannot do. And the Fed cannot do what others have failed to do, namely to plan an economy from a central desk in the capital city."  -JIM GRANT, FOUNDER OF GRANT’S INTEREST RATE OBSERVER. POINTS TO PONDER 1.  The […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
September 28, 2012
"The fact that the Keynesians...are in total disarray just shows that their global explanation of how the world works is simply wrong.  If Keynesian policies worked France should be booming today."   -CHARLES GAVE The game that will live in infamy.  Silly me—after all these years I thought CNBC was actually a financial news network.  But […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
October 5, 2012
"Every monetary policy action has costs and benefits, and my assessment is that the potential costs and risks associated with these actions (QE3) outweigh the potential meager benefits."  -CHARLES PLOSSER, PRESIDENT OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF PHILADELPHIA POINTS TO PONDER 1. Looking at a collection of US economic data makes the stock market’s ebullience […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
October 12, 2012
"The US is the best looking horse in the glue factory." -ERSKINE BOWLES, CO-AUTHOR OF THE SIMPSON-BOWLES DEFECIT REDUCTION PLAN. "We have a leaderless government right now." -ALAN SIMPSON, THE PLAN’S OTHER CO-AUTHOR. A most important election. Presidential elections are almost always over-hyped. Typically, they don’t live up to their billing as the newly elected "messiah" […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
October 26, 2012
"How many things we regarded yesterday as articles of faith that seem to us only fables today?"  - MICHEL DE MONTAIGNE, FRENCH RENAISSANCE PHILOSOPHER Land of the setting yen? After nearly 34 years in the investment business, one strongly and widely held view—clutched with almost religious fervor by millions of investors, academics, and policymakers—still leaves […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
November 2, 2012
"Let’s be honest with ourselves.  The US economy is not on the path of a sustainable and healthy recovery from a Great Recession that began almost four years ago."   -DAN DIMICCO, CEO OF STEEL GIANT, NUCOR. POINTS TO PONDER 1. Although the long-term picture looks radiant for US manufacturing, even this resurgent part of our […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
November 16, 2012
"By a continuing process of inflation, Governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens...Lenin was certainly right. There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency." -JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES The original Volcker Rule. The year was 1979 and […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
November 23, 2012
"The tax on capital gains directly affects investment decisions, the mobility and flow of risk capital" (as well as) "the ease of difficulty experienced by new ventures in obtaining capital, and thereby the strength and potential for growth in the economy." -JOHN F. KENNEDY POINTS TO PONDER 1. Over the last four years, when the […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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