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April 29, 2022
Alternative Investments During Periods of Volatility
Quote:“The premise of saving for 10, 20, 30, 40 years and only having access to daily liquidity products doesn’t make sense.” – Joan Solotar, Global Head of Private Wealth Solutions at Blackstone Inc. Alternative Investments During Periods of VolatilityAlternative investments have long been used as a tool in portfolio construction by large institutions, pensions, and […]
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April 1, 2022
Positioning Recommendations - April 1st, 2022
Ride Away, Right Away! It’s no April Fool’s gag that the first quarter was a rare down one for stock investors. That is, unless they were closely following this newsletter’s repeated recommendations to have considerable hard asset exposure.  The S&P 500 was down roughly 4 ½% in Q1, while the NASDAQ, most investors’ favorite playground, […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 25, 2022
Positioning Recommendations - March 25th, 2022
Implausible Deniability? The economic and geopolitical headwinds are blowing much stronger than they were prior to Russia’s attack on Ukraine.  So, what has been the stock market’s reaction to this?  Just like in the days when the Fed was in binge-print mode, it has been to head north.  The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 25, 2022
Time To Call It A (Bubble) Wrap
In this final chapter of Bubble 3.0, I cover the subject a number of you have been asking for since we began publishing my book in chapters and mini chapters:  How best to protect your personal wealth from the radically different investment environment in which we find ourselves. It’s simply stating the obvious that when […]
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March 24, 2022
EVA Readers Rock!
Your response to our Ukrainian relief message has been extraordinary!!  It appears that we will at least hit $75,000, with a decent shot at approaching my $100,000 “stretch” goal.  A few of you even took my suggestion and donated appreciated stock.  In that regard, included below is a receipt from the Salvation Army’s Marci Servizi […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 18, 2022
Positioning Recommendations, March 18th, 2022
Send In The Drones Is this just a bear market rally? Or is the stock market poised for a further rebound?  In my view, the correct answer is contingent on the ceasefire talks between Ukraine and Russia.  While acknowledging the usual fog of war, and what does to informational reliability, it’s nearly inarguable that V. […]
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March 17, 2022
Important Message
Below is a re-send of this message, which originally posted yesterday but has since been updated to include the correct donation link. Thank you all. -------- We are interrupting our normal Bubble 3.0 publication sequence to convey an extremely important message.  We will resume publishing Bubble 3.0 on Friday with Chapter 16 on the ultimate […]
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March 11, 2022
Positioning Recommendations – March 11th, 2022
There are times when it’s relatively easy to be an investor.  This is definitely not one of them! For years, it was possible to just sit back and ride the market’s rising tide caused by nearly endless liquidity infusions from the Fed and the other leading central banks.  Those days have come to an end.  […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 4, 2022
Positioning Recommendations - March 4th, 2022
Will the nightmares ever stop?  After two years of coping with a global pandemic, humanity is now faced with images of Russian attacks on an operating nuclear facility.  V. Putin’s not-very-veiled threats to use nuclear weapons only intensify the Kafkaesque conditions.    In last week’s note, I stated that the odd decline in commodity prices at […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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February 25, 2022
Positioning Recommendations - February 25th, 2022
The tanks roll, oil rolls over, and tech roars back! This is not exactly what a rational investor would have expected in the event of a multi-front invasion of Ukraine with Kyiv already under siege.  Perhaps this odd reaction is a function of the feather-light wrist-slap the West has administered to Russia thus far. Reportedly, Italian Prime […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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