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July 5, 2019
Investing For A New Cold War
As is often the case in the current news environment, the endless headlines surrounding the relations between the United States and China overshadow the substance of underlying policy and provide little added value to the public. While this may make for good political theatre, it leaves many struggling to grasp what has been developing not just over the past year, but quietly for the past decade. In this week's EVA, Evergreen Gavekal partner Louis Gave offers thought-provoking insights on the complex “trade war” being staged by the two countries. Louis—and the venerable Charles Gave, with his 50 years of investment experience—argue there are far bigger implications for the ongoing battle than just the balance of imports and exports. The following examines the events that have led us to this point, as well as the options that may be exhausted going forward.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 28, 2019
Likes/Dislikes - June 28, 2019
Evergreen Gavekal's Likes/Dislikes for June 28, 2019.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 28, 2019
Chartbook
In just six months, the Fed went from hiking interest rates to, as of last week, opening the doors for future interest rate cuts. This makes the hike last December look a bit silly given the stock market was in freefall, economic data was deteriorating, and trade tensions were escalating. To make matters worse, President Trump tweeted it is “incredible” that the Fed “is even considering another interest rate hike” before the Fed raised last December. Since then, the Twitter handle @realDonaldTrump has been exceedingly critical with regards to Fed policy and tightening too aggressively. It’s worth noting that almost every other president in history has steered clear of publicly criticizing the Fed, which makes this situation even more precarious and unprecedented.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 21, 2019
The Case of the Missing Inflation: The Changing Demographic Picture
Inflation is a fickle measure influenced by several economic variables. Over the last 100 years, the rate of price inflation in the United States has swung wildly, from upwards of 20% in the early 1920, to -17% a few years following, to a steadier rate in the low single-digits over the last 35 years.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 21, 2019
Likes/Dislikes - June 21, 2019
Evergreen Gavekal's Likes/Dislikes for June 21, 2019.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 14, 2019
Likes/Dislikes - June 14, 2019
Evergreen Gavekal's Likes/Dislikes for June 14, 2019.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 14, 2019
Bubble 3.0: A Blast From a Bubble Past
Being old—like north of 60—doesn’t come with many advantages. However, in the investment game it does have at least one: being “mature” enough to remember past financial and business cycles.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 7, 2019
Why Antitrust Threats Should Worry Wall Street
Invincible. Infallible. Unshakeable. When the tech heavyweights stepped up to fight nearly ten years ago, they were substantially leaner in almost every measurable category. Market caps were deflated following a bloody bear bath; earnings were paltry and, in many cases, non-existent; and influence on Main Street, Wall Street and Capitol Hill were meaningful but not, by any means, overwhelming.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 7, 2019
Likes/Dislikes - June 7, 2019
Evergreen Gavekal's Likes/Dislikes for June 7, 2019.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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May 31, 2019
Likes/Dislikes - May 31, 2019
Evergreen Gavekal's Likes/Dislikes for May 31, 2019.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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