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January 18, 2024
2023: A Year in Review
Even if I told you the future, you wouldn’t believe it! Investors are constantly trying to read the economic tea leaves, attempting to decipher, digest, and predict what’s going to happen next. This is a difficult prospect at best and a fool’s errand at worst. The takeaway I hope readers extract from this piece is […]
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January 11, 2024
Quarterly Market Update - January 2024
This week's newsletter features a presentation by Evergreen's Co-Chief Investment Officer, Jeff Dicks. He reflects on the final quarter of 2023 and reviews the investment committee's 2024 market outlook in 32 charts. In addition to these insights, Jeff also discusses key themes to pay attention to for the upcoming year.  DISCLOSURE: Securities highlighted or discussed in […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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January 4, 2024
IPOs to Watch in 2024
In May 2019, the inaugural edition of our now-annual “IPOs to Watch” series highlighted a selection of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) for investors to watch. At the time, we titled the article “Chasing Unicorns,” reflecting the unprecedented surge of unicorn companies – private entities valued at over a billion dollars – emerging in private markets. […]
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December 28, 2023
Will the IPO Market Rebound in 2024?
Despite initial predictions of a continued market decline from 2022 into 2023, the market has exhibited remarkable resilience this year, approaching all-time highs as expectations around inflation and the Fed’s next move have shifted. Recently, Evergreen's partner, Louis Vincent-Gave, published a comprehensive review of several unexpected bull markets that we witnessed in 2023: Despite the […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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December 21, 2023
Long Bonds And A Dovish Fed
After last Wednesday’s pivot by the Federal Reserve, the US dollar slumped, cyclicals rallied hard, gold and precious metal miners soared, and long-bond yields around the world, but especially in the US, fell. On the following day, the European Central Bank came out and essentially said “we don’t know what the Fed is on about, […]
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November 22, 2023
Insights Into Investing from "Zero to 1"
Investing in emerging technologies isn’t for the faint of heart. This reality became abundantly clear when two leading companies in the Space and Artificial Intelligence (AI) industries experienced both literal and figurative combustible moments last week. In the literal sense, Elon Musk’s SpaceX launched its highly anticipated next-generation megarocket, dubbed "Starship," into orbit on Saturday […]
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November 16, 2023
The Fed Pauses...Now What?
A little under a month ago, various Federal Reserve governors started to signal that the US central bank might have reached its terminal destination in this hiking cycle. Of course, such statements were replete with caveats that short rates would stay “higher for longer”, even as history shows that, aside from 2006-07, once the Fed […]
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November 2, 2023
Soup Up Your Balanced Portfolio, Don't Take it to the Junkyard!
On October 19th, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) published an article by Eric Wallerstein entitled, “The Trusted 60-40 Investing Strategy Just Had Its Worst Year in Generations. Higher interest rates and inflation are upending millions of Americans’ retirement planning. Wall Street’s boilerplate mix of stocks and bonds isn’t cutting it anymore.” In short, the author […]
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October 5, 2023
The Sustainability of US Debt (Part One)
A political deal may have been cobbled together to keep the US government operating until November, but on Monday treasuries kept selling off. As investors game out what the funding deal means for monetary policy, they are unlikely to find succor in the US’s poor fiscal outlook. Some analysts blame this fiscal deterioration on past […]
By: Will Denyer
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September 28, 2023
IPO Market Gains Momentum
Activity in the Initial Public Offering (IPO) market plays a pivotal role in guiding private market companies and investors alike. While IPO activity all but dried up in 2022, the IPO market has shown signs of life in 2023. In 2022, a meager 71 IPOs managed to raise $7.7 billion in proceeds in the United […]
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