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June 8, 2023
Public Tech Markets Rally, Will Private Markets Follow Suit?
The tech-heavy Nasdaq has had an exceptional start to 2023, rising nearly 28% year-to-date. Last Friday, the Nasdaq capped its sixth consecutive week of gains, marking its longest winning streak since 2020. Nvidia's remarkable contribution to last week's risk-on run can’t be overlooked as the company briefly became the ninth-ever member to join the trillion-dollar […]
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June 1, 2023
The After-Effects Of The Debt Ceiling Deal
Saturday’s 11th-hour deal to suspend the US federal debt limit until 2025 will bring down the curtain on the political drama over the debt ceiling until after the 2024 election. But for investors, the story is far from over. The ripple-effects of the debt ceiling deal on financial markets and monetary policy are only just […]
By: Will Denyer
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May 25, 2023
The Importance Of Falling US Mortgage Rates
By Tan Kai Xian US mortgage rates have eased slightly in the last six months, with the average interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages falling 70bp from 7.1% to 6.4%. Arguably that’s no big deal, given the rate is still more than double its level at the beginning of 2021. But moderating inflationary pressure, the […]
By: Tan Kai Xian
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April 20, 2023
Believe in Inflation Expectations
By Tan Kai Xian The US inflation data for March painted a picture of moderating price pressures, with the year-on-year increases in consumer prices, producer prices, and import prices all easing. But the messaging around inflation remains discordant. In recent days, financial luminaries including JP Morgan boss Jamie Dimon, Larry Fink at Blackrock and Bank […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 30, 2023
March Market Update
For this week’s Evergreen Virtual Advisor, we are releasing a podcast with our Director of Private Wealth, Jeff Otis and our Co-CIO, Jeff Dicks to summarize recent events in the banking industry. Some topics they cover: As always, thank you for listening! DISCLOSURE: This material has been prepared or is distributed solely for informational purposes […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 16, 2023
SVB'S Collapse Offers Unexpected Opportunity for Private Credit and Private Equity
Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) sudden collapse rocked the tech community and financial markets last week. The second-largest bank failure in US history combusted in less than 48 hours, leaving depositors unsure about whether the government, Federal Reserve, another large banking institution, or a hedge fund would help rescue billions of uninsured deposits by the time […]
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February 23, 2023
Weighing The Emerging Markets
By Udith Sikand and Vincent Tsui Does the pullback of the last few weeks ring time on the rally that lifted emerging market assets and currencies from October to January? Or does it present an attractive entry point for investors who may have missed the first stage of a protracted period of outperformance that promises […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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February 15, 2023
Private Market Sentiment Remains Bullish Despite Headwinds
There’s a popular axiom on Wall Street that two emotions drive markets: fear and greed. Warren Buffett immortalized the contrarian viewpoint on this subject, famously declaring that investors should “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” Sentiment indicators quantify market psychology and are often used to gauge bullish or bearish […]
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February 2, 2023
Disinflation And A Potentially Stubborn Fed
By Will Denyer For the first time in this cycle, Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell cheerily intoned on Wednesday that “a disinflationary process has started”. Accordingly, the Fed further slowed the pace of tightening—hiking the main policy interest rate by 25bp (to just under 4.75%), as opposed to prior increments of 50bp and 75bp. So […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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January 20, 2023
Is there a “Perfect Storm” Brewing in the Private Secondaries Market?
Private Equity (PE) exits in the United States dropped precipitously from $876.7 billion in 2021 to $295.8 billion in 2022. During the same period, the Initial Public Offering (IPO) market almost completely evaporated, as public listings accounted for only 2.5% of exit value last year. The impacts of rising inflation, public market volatility, and geopolitical […]
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