Blog

July 21, 2017
Passive Regression
Much has been written in this publication’s pages about “ETF-mania” and the rise of passive investing. In fact, devoted readers need not look farther than last week’s Pull It Together (Part II) EVA to read a quick synopsis of Evergreen’s belief that the passive fad is sure to end poorly.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
Read This >>
July 14, 2017
Pull it Together, Dave! (Part 2)
This week’s EVA is a continuation of last week’s “Pull It Together” issue. The main idea is to summarize the key factors and forces Evergreen sees impacting the financial markets now and, more importantly, in the future.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
Read This >>
July 7, 2017
Pull it Together, Dave! (Part 1)
Every so often, I like to summarize our “CinemaScope” view of current conditions. Perhaps these days it should be called our “IMAX outlook”, but the point is to try to pull together our big picture perception of the financial and economic landscape.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
Read This >>
June 30, 2017
So We Are in Secular Stagnation...
Long-time EVA readers know that I am an unabashed admirer of my friend and partner, Charles Gave. Recently, I had a chance to chat with him in Whistler at the annual Gavekal retreat and, even though he is knocking on the door of the three-quarter century mark, he has not lost his wit nor his willingness to challenge prevailing orthodoxies.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
Read This >>
June 23, 2017
America is Great. Home Country Bias Ain't.
The US has been a terrific place to invest since 2009. In fact, looking at one of the charts we presented in last week’s Infographic EVA, the S&P 500 has outperformed MSCI Asia Pacific by 101%, MSCI Europe by 107%, and MSCI Emerging Markets by 132% during that timeframe.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
Read This >>
June 16, 2017
Running of the Bulls
Much has been written in this publication’s pages about a forthcoming correction to the aging bull market. Last month, we wrote briefly about the first visible signs of chink in the armor when, on May 17th, the Dow Jones and S&P retracted -1.8% over reports that President Trump tampered with a federal investigation.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
Read This >>
June 9, 2017
Peak Oil Demand: Fact or Fiction?
The theme of this week’s EVA revolves around the topic of peak oil demand. Much has been written and debated about this recently – especially considering energy’s dismal start to 2017 and Trump’s recent decision to withdraw from the Paris Agreement.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
Read This >>
June 2, 2017
Momentous Minsky
Momentous Minsky. In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, this newsletter praised an economist who never lived to see the ultimate vindication of his life’s work. His name was Hyman Minsky and as those of you who track the financial markets even casually know, we’re not alone in our fascination with his theories.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
Read This >>
May 26, 2017
The "I" Word
The “I” word. The word “impeachment” has been thrown around several times in the history of American politics. The first sitting president to be formally impeached was Andrew Johnson, in 1868, for abuse of power. Over a century later, Bill Clinton was the second US president impeached for perjury and obstruction of justice. Both were acquitted in the Senate, but their names will be forever associated with that long, humiliating “I” word.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
Read This >>
May 19, 2017
Bubbles, Bombs, and Buffett
Better to be lucky... One of this year’s “Unexpected Outcomes” from our January 20th EVA was that the long-comatose French stock market would be one of the world’s better performers in 2017. My rationale was that, at the time, Francois Fillon, a credible and reform-minded candidate, was leading the polls for president of France. Moreover, considering his flawed and/or relatively obscure opponents, his election looked highly probable.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
Read This >>
1 60 61 62 63 64 100
  • Categories

NEWSLETTER