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March 16, 2018
The Trump Trade Tirade
In an echo of the early February market meltdown, panic unexpectedly shook markets as President Trump unleashed the opening salvo in his war on trade at the end of last month. Bloomberg even went so far as to dub the pull-back a “Tariff Tantrum” in an ominous ode to the Taper Tantrum of 2013.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 9, 2018
The Seven Deadly Sins of AI Predictions
On September 22, 2017 we ran a piece from one of our trusted partners at Gavekal titled “Robots Everywhere, But the Statistics.” The main purpose of the research was to call out an area where real-world data didn’t jive with widespread belief. In a similar vein, this week’s Guest EVA comes from the voice of a world-renowned expert in the field of Artificial Intelligence (AI), Rodney Brooks.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 2, 2018
A "Once in a Generation" Shift
This month’s Gavekal EVA is a body slam worthy of World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE), at least for those who expect the investment status quo to continue being so. What’s particularly noteworthy is, as you will read, this article was written before the market suddenly did a face-plant early last month (a pratfall it is reprising in recent days).
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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February 23, 2018
Going For Gold
The 2018 Winter Olympic Games are nearly behind us, and so is the latest chase for the ultimate sports prize: a gold medal.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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February 16, 2018
Unexpected Outcomes
First, please accept my apologies for a slightly delayed edition of our annual Unexpected Outcomes Evergreen Virtual Advisor. However, as most regular EVA readers know, we have run several forecast-oriented issues to kick-off the new year.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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February 9, 2018
The Biggest Bubble Ever
In this exclusive Quarterly Webinar, David Hay talks about “the biggest bubble ever” (0:20), the economy (5:38), the stock market (17:40), the bond market (28:00), inflation (32:53), central banks (35:05) and energy (38:36).
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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February 2, 2018
Big Questions (Part 2)
Another EVA, another chance to read the thoughts of one of the planet’s smartest men, Anatole Kaletsky! This week’s issue is a follow-up to the January 26th edition, also by Anatole, titled “The Big Questions for 2018.” Among those urgent queries is one I personally believe might be the King Kong of them all: is the global bond market on the verge of a meltdown?
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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January 26, 2018
Big Questions (Part 1)
The year 2018 is still in its infancy, but some of the hot-button questions of late-2017 have been (or are currently being) answered: Will the Bitcoin bubble burst? Will political gridlock in Washington, D.C. lead to a federal government shutdown? Will anything slow down this raging bull market?
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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January 19, 2018
Bracing Yourself for a Possible Near-Term Melt-Up
Into the Wild Blue Yonder. It’s not often that I get a chance to send out one of our newsletters containing fodder for both the bulls and bears. However, in this week’s Guest EVA edition, I am able to do exactly that and, for bonus points, at least for me, to highlight the latest musings of one of my heroes, Jeremy Grantham.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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January 12, 2018
Evergreen Roundtable 2018
The Evergreen Virtual Advisor is nearly 10,000 subscribers strong, up from just 500 readers, 7 years ago. Roughly 10% of subscribers are clients, leaving us with the sometimes-difficult task of writing to two distinct audiences. Clients are keenly interested in Evergreen-specific happenings, whereas outside readers are more interested in our macro market outlook. This week’s newsletter attempts to carefully thread the needle between both interests.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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