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August 25, 2017
The Strangulation of Enterprise
Zero interest rates have made a great many people a great deal richer. But paradoxically they have strangled wealth creation. The reason for this is that enterprise is overwhelmingly a phenomenon found among smaller companies. Among big companies it is a rare quality.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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August 18, 2017
The North Korea EMP Threat
To Seattleites, the initials EMP stand for Experience Music Project, funded and founded by Microsoft co-founder and mega-billionaire Paul Allen. But to those of you who recall our May 19th EVA, it has a much more ominous meaning: Electromagnetic Pulse.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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August 11, 2017
Retail Realities (Part II)
In one of the most surprising plot twists in e-commerce history, technology giant Amazon.com piloted a physical bookstore concept in late-2015. Dubbed Amazon Books, the retailer, which started as an online store to compete against the likes of Barnes & Noble and now-defunct Borders, entered the same brick-and-mortar space that many argue they are helping destroy.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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August 4, 2017
Retail Realities (Part I)
This week’s EVA brings a special opportunity for Evergreen to sit down with Nordstrom’s Co-President, Erik Nordstrom, and ask ten questions on the future of retail.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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July 28, 2017
Cycles (Still) Happen
Since the global financial crisis erupted nearly 10 years ago, central banks have drenched the financial system with more than $10 trillion. One of the many consequences of this gigantic money deluge has been the dampening of cyclicality for both the financial markets and the economy.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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July 21, 2017
Passive Regression
Much has been written in this publication’s pages about “ETF-mania” and the rise of passive investing. In fact, devoted readers need not look farther than last week’s Pull It Together (Part II) EVA to read a quick synopsis of Evergreen’s belief that the passive fad is sure to end poorly.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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July 14, 2017
Pull it Together, Dave! (Part 2)
This week’s EVA is a continuation of last week’s “Pull It Together” issue. The main idea is to summarize the key factors and forces Evergreen sees impacting the financial markets now and, more importantly, in the future.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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July 7, 2017
Pull it Together, Dave! (Part 1)
Every so often, I like to summarize our “CinemaScope” view of current conditions. Perhaps these days it should be called our “IMAX outlook”, but the point is to try to pull together our big picture perception of the financial and economic landscape.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 30, 2017
So We Are in Secular Stagnation...
Long-time EVA readers know that I am an unabashed admirer of my friend and partner, Charles Gave. Recently, I had a chance to chat with him in Whistler at the annual Gavekal retreat and, even though he is knocking on the door of the three-quarter century mark, he has not lost his wit nor his willingness to challenge prevailing orthodoxies.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 23, 2017
America is Great. Home Country Bias Ain't.
The US has been a terrific place to invest since 2009. In fact, looking at one of the charts we presented in last week’s Infographic EVA, the S&P 500 has outperformed MSCI Asia Pacific by 101%, MSCI Europe by 107%, and MSCI Emerging Markets by 132% during that timeframe.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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