Blog

September 14, 2018
The Oil Market’s Massive Repricing
Life is full of ironies and there may be no more vivid example of that today than in the oil patch. Wouldn’t it be the height of irony if the radical shift by the automotive industry toward electric vehicles (EVs), and away from internal combustion engines (ICEs), created the next oil price surge into triple digits? Sound crazy? Please allow me to explain…with a lot of help from a kindred spirit, the keen minds at the investment research firm Macro Ops.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 7, 2018
Real Estate Realities
In August 2017, we gave our readers a unique opportunity to hear about the future of retail from Nordstrom’s Co-President, Erik Nordstrom. This week, we are bringing another exciting opportunity to hear from Rick Davidson on the future of the residential real estate market. Rick is a 30-year real estate industry veteran who retired from his position as President and CEO of Century 21 Real Estate in April 2017.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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August 31, 2018
Clogging China's Cash Pipeline to Silicon Valley
Most coverage of the mounting US-China strategic tensions has focused on tariff threats. Equally significant are moves by the US to choke off Chinese investments in the US technology sector. These moves are part of a strategy to ensure that China can’t catch up to the US in critical technology fields by buying, or buying into, cutting-edge American firms.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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August 24, 2018
Bubble 3.0: Up From the Ashes
At the beginning of 2018, we initiated a new EVA series titled “Bubble 3.0” with excerpts from my upcoming book (tentatively titled “Bubble 3.0: How Central Banks Created the Next Financial Crisis”).
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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August 17, 2018
Capitalism: Why Chile is so Much Richer than Venezuela
It’s no secret that here at Evergreen we’re boisterous free-market advocates. Data and history show that economies operating freely in a system with moderate and rational government control perform better in the long-run. When economies are burdened by excessive government policy or overwhelmed with authoritarian control, nations become unstable, which often spurs abuse and extremism.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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August 10, 2018
The Recession of 2019
Towards the tail-end of July, the Commerce Department reported that Gross Domestic Product (also known as GDP), or the total value of goods and services produced in the US, increased at an annual pace of 4.1% in this year’s second quarter. As expected, President Trump took a victory lap around these numbers, which were the highest GDP growth results since 2014. (However, lost in the fanfare was the fact that the first quarter GDP number was revised down from 2.9% to 2.3%.)
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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August 3, 2018
Quarterly Webinar with David Hay (August 2018)
In this exclusive Quarterly Webinar, David Hay discusses what's happening in the economy (0:08), what could end “Bubblemania” (2:43), the yield curve and credit spreads (13:14), inflation (17:17), the US stock market (21:44), and overseas markets & energy (27:34). We have added timestamps above for reference in case you want to skip to the section, or sections, you care about the most.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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July 27, 2018
Reasons to Be Bullish About the Digital Future
In this week’s EVA, we are putting aside our concerns about excessive debt levels, reckless central bank policies, inflated asset prices, and widespread investor complacency to focus on the long-term promise offered by America’s technology sector. As you will read, there is a lot to be excited about over the next five to ten years and, in some cases, the future is now.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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July 20, 2018
The Debt Train Will Crash
In the financial newsletter industry, John Mauldin is like LeBron James. No one stands taller or is more popular than John with his million-plus circulation of Thoughts from the Frontline. Candidly, John’s work inspired me to start writing the Evergreen Virtual Adviser back in 2006 (so now you know who to blame!).
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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July 13, 2018
A National Security Imperative
In March, Evergreen outlined our near- and long-term concern for an escalating trade war in The Trump Trade Tirade. Well, ladies and gentlemen, it seems as if the worst has come is coming to fruition.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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