Blog

December 28, 2018
RVTV Interview with Grant Williams and David Hay
In mid-October, Evergreen’s Chief Investment Officer, David Hay, had the opportunity to sit down for a long (and chilly) interview with Grant Williams. For those unfamiliar with Mr. Williams’ work, he is the founder of Real Vision and author of one of the most popular and widely-read financial publications around the globe, Things That Make You Go Hmm…
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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December 21, 2018
The Nothing Beyond
Back in early September, we ran a fascinating interview with Rick Davidson, former CEO and President of Century 21. In the exchange, Rick hinted at the beginnings of a real estate slowdown in the US, anticipating coastal markets would see the tide shifting first, before a more broad-based tightening took hold. Since then, ominous headlines have made waves in national publications, echoing and expanding on this outlook (you can find a particularly popular one in The Wall Street Journal).
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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December 14, 2018
Special Edition EVA: The Stealth Bear Market
It never ceases to amaze me how conditions can change almost instantaneously in the stock market. It was only a couple of months ago that the S&P 500 seemed invulnerable and on pace for a double-digit return year. However, as we approach the end of 2018, with countless investors praying for a Santa Claus rally, any gain would be appreciated.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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December 7, 2018
How to Defend Against Cyber Attacks
For many, the holiday season is a special time to pause and reflect on things that are important. It is a time to celebrate, show gratitude, and practice generosity with family, friends, and co-workers. While joyful in most cases, it can also be a very busy time of year, as people travel, attend holiday parties and buy gifts online.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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November 30, 2018
Bubble 3.0: The Upside of Downside (Chapter 7)
At the beginning of 2018, we initiated a new EVA series titled “Bubble 3.0” with excerpts from David Hay’s upcoming book tentatively titled “Bubble 3.0: How Central Banks Created the Next Financial Crisis”.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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November 23, 2018
The Uphill Struggle for Equities
This week started on another low note, as US equities tumbled on weakness in energy and tech. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 temporarily slid 10% below its record September close, while the Nasdaq fell to nearly 14% below its August high. In an equity market that has skated by whimsically on the back of relaxed monetary policy and historically low interest rates for nearly 10 years, trouble has not oft been on the mind of the fully-invested, US-concentrated, passively-exposed, large-cap investor. It seems as if we might have reached a breaking point.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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November 16, 2018
Briffits & Squeans, Blurgits & Plewds
How soon we forget. George Santayana long ago wrote these immortal words: “Those who cannot learn from the past are doomed to repeat it”. However, a more recent thinker took his observation one step further by wryly observing (with a little paraphrasing by yours truly): “And the rest of us are doomed to suffer along with them”.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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November 9, 2018
The Future of Tech Regulation
One of the reasons for the proliferation of technological innovation within the United States over the last several decades is due to its “lighter touch” on regulation when compared to global counterparts. Even when comparing the tech industry to other industries within the United States, the technology sector is the least regulated industry with just 27,000 federal laws verses 128,000 for the financial sector and 215,000 for manufacturing.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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November 2, 2018
Quarterly Webinar with David Hay (November 2018)
In this exclusive Quarterly Webinar, David Hay discusses what's happening in the housing market, credit spreads and US treasuries, small cap stocks, the credit bubble, US corporate profits, global trade war, US stock market, and echoes of October 1987.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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October 26, 2018
Are We Still in a Bull Market?
This week, we nearly attempted the delicate dance of running two chartbooks concurrently – one from our partners at Gavekal, and the other from the desk of Evergreen’s Chief Investment Officer, David Hay. However, after stepping back and examining the importance and timeliness of both presentation, and the challenges of weaving together different mediums and messages. we thought it prudent to separate the two and deliver them in back-to-back weeks rather than side-by-side in the same week.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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