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February 16, 2018
Unexpected Outcomes
First, please accept my apologies for a slightly delayed edition of our annual Unexpected Outcomes Evergreen Virtual Advisor. However, as most regular EVA readers know, we have run several forecast-oriented issues to kick-off the new year.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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February 9, 2018
The Biggest Bubble Ever
In this exclusive Quarterly Webinar, David Hay talks about “the biggest bubble ever” (0:20), the economy (5:38), the stock market (17:40), the bond market (28:00), inflation (32:53), central banks (35:05) and energy (38:36).
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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February 2, 2018
Big Questions (Part 2)
Another EVA, another chance to read the thoughts of one of the planet’s smartest men, Anatole Kaletsky! This week’s issue is a follow-up to the January 26th edition, also by Anatole, titled “The Big Questions for 2018.” Among those urgent queries is one I personally believe might be the King Kong of them all: is the global bond market on the verge of a meltdown?
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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January 26, 2018
Big Questions (Part 1)
The year 2018 is still in its infancy, but some of the hot-button questions of late-2017 have been (or are currently being) answered: Will the Bitcoin bubble burst? Will political gridlock in Washington, D.C. lead to a federal government shutdown? Will anything slow down this raging bull market?
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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January 19, 2018
Bracing Yourself for a Possible Near-Term Melt-Up
Into the Wild Blue Yonder. It’s not often that I get a chance to send out one of our newsletters containing fodder for both the bulls and bears. However, in this week’s Guest EVA edition, I am able to do exactly that and, for bonus points, at least for me, to highlight the latest musings of one of my heroes, Jeremy Grantham.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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January 12, 2018
Evergreen Roundtable 2018
The Evergreen Virtual Advisor is nearly 10,000 subscribers strong, up from just 500 readers, 7 years ago. Roughly 10% of subscribers are clients, leaving us with the sometimes-difficult task of writing to two distinct audiences. Clients are keenly interested in Evergreen-specific happenings, whereas outside readers are more interested in our macro market outlook. This week’s newsletter attempts to carefully thread the needle between both interests.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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January 5, 2018
Taking Back the Internet
On December 14th, 2017 the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) ruled in favor of overturning Obama-era net neutrality regulations by a vote of 3-2. While not necessarily underreported, the ruling was, in many ways, overshadowed in the financial media by two parallel events: tax reform and the Bitcoin bubble. Case in point, we have used these pages to share our view on both of these topics over the past several weeks, while completely ignoring the FCC’s landmark decision.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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December 29, 2017
Will Wonders Never Cease?
Well, they did it. The gang that couldn’t shoot legislate straight managed to get their tax bill passed before year-end. Despite the GOP controlling all three elected arms of government, it wasn’t pretty to watch. In fact, by comparison, sausage-making looks like a pristine process.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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December 22, 2017
Bubble Watch: a New EVA Series Dedicated to Investors Interested in Preserving Their Wealth
With the Holiday Season upon us, this might seem like an odd time to launch this new version of our Evergreen Virtual Adviser (EVA) considering the subject matter. However, no one ever accused me of being normal! Yet, to show that I’m not a distant descendant of Ebenezer Scrooge (at least that I know of), I do want to point out right up front that there are attractive places to invest money these days despite the reality—to be outlined below—that Bubble-mania is fast approaching a fever pitch.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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December 15, 2017
The Bitcoin Bubble Changes Shape
Up, Up and Away? It’s been two weeks since we wrote on the Bitcoin bubble and whether investors should consider jumping on the train to never-never land. Our case against such action was that Bitcoin is volatile, doesn’t behave like a currency, isn’t backed, is extremely expensive, and could become banned.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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