Blog

June 15, 2018
‘Peak Politics’: Another Chance to Buy the Dip?
Given the spectacle that played out in Singapore at the beginning of this week, it’s easy to forget the state of uncertainty that markets and individuals lived in at times last summer when Kim Jong-un and President Trump traded nuclear war intimidations.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 8, 2018
Bubble 3.0: How Did We Get Here? (Part II)
The ongoing EVA series with excerpts from my upcoming book (tentatively titled “Bubble 3.0, How Central Banks Created the Next Financial Crisis”) is getting a lot of attention from clients and readers. Depending on which camp people sit in – see-no-trouble bull or too-lightly-invested bear – the responses either strike a dispiriting or encouraging tone.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 1, 2018
Bubble 3.0: How Did We Get Here? (Part I)
At the end of 2017, we initiated a new EVA series titled “Bubble Watch” where we went as far as to postulate that we’re in the midst of the Biggest Bubble Ever (BBE).
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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May 25, 2018
Know What You Don't Know
Sometimes our newsletter has been accused of writing too technically about financial markets. Truth be told, it’s a constant juggling act to write something that caters to casual market observers as well as to those who pore over the meeting minutes every time the FOMC convenes.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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May 18, 2018
Democracy in Crisis
Generally speaking, the purpose of EVA is to communicate Evergreen’s overall outlook on the markets and economy. We tend to stick to this script by writing on topics such as central bank policy, inflation, the stock market, the bond market, and energy. One theme we try to avoid – or at least stay neutral on – is politics.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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May 11, 2018
The Small Cap Police
It’s been nearly a year since our newsletter last touched on the passive investing phenomenon. And yet, despite its absence from these pages, direct asset flows into passive vehicles have continued to outdo their active counterparts at a dizzying pace.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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May 4, 2018
Why a Curve Inversion Matters
A recurring theme in various EVAs over the years is the importance of the yield curve. Sorry, I know a term like that can literally throw non-professional investors—i.e., those with a real life—for a curve. But, unlike with so many human relationships, it’s NOT complicated.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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April 27, 2018
How Could They Have Been So Stupid?
It’s time for a couple of firsts. The first “first” is that I’ve never before written an introduction to an introduction. The second is that I’ve never attempted to self-publish a book in real-time.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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April 20, 2018
Quarterly Webinar with David Hay (April 2018)
In this exclusive Quarterly Webinar, David Hay reviews what's happening with MLPs (Master Limited Partnerships), the bond market, inflation and the economy, energy and the US stock market. You don't want to miss this!
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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April 13, 2018
The Trump Trade Tirade, Part II
The original idea for this week’s EVA was to compile a list of “winners” and “losers” should the escalating trade war play out fully.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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