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May 6, 2016
THE MIND: BEAUTY OR BEAST?
Click here to view PDF. “It is human nature to think wisely and act foolishly.” -ANATOLE FRANCE SUMMARY - Despite rapid advances in technology, the human brain remains far more superior to even the most powerful supercomputer. - However, our brains have deficiencies that often lead to irrational and/or sub-optimal decisions. - Some of these […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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April 29, 2016
The best laid plans…
Click here to view PDF. “Low interest rates cause secular stagnation: they do not cure it.” -CHARLES GAVE “Negative interest rates are the dumbest idea ever.” -JEFF GUNDLACH, the new “King of Bonds” “Laugh but listen.” -WINSTON CHURCHILL, addressing the British House of Commons, warning it once again of the rising threat posed by Nazi […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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April 22, 2016
REAL VISION TV WITH ART CASHIN
Click to view as PDF. This month’s edition of the Evergreen Virtual Advisor (EVA) Guest issue should be a special treat for our readers or—in this case—viewers.  My great friend Grant Williams has granted us permission (thanks for the grant, Grant!) to give all of you a sample of the unique streaming service he co-founded, […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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April 15, 2016
EUROPEAN DISUNION
Click to view as PDF. SUMMARY This issue of the Evergreen Virtual Advisor (EVA) is our monthly edition of insights from our partners at Gavekal. Thankfully, its subject matter gives readers a chance to shift their focus away from America’s political circus, which seems to be growing more surreal by the day. You will soon […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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April 8, 2016
I’VE SEEN THE FUTURE
Click to view as PDF. “Virtual reality was once the dream of science fiction. But the internet was also once a dream, and so were computers and smartphones. The future is coming.” - MARK ZUCKERBERG, Facebook post, March 25, 2014 I'VE SEEN THE FUTURE By Tyler Hay, Chief Executive Officer Recently, a client of ours, […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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April 1, 2016
QUANTIFYING THE FED’S IMPACT ON THE S&P 500
Click to view as PDF. CHAIRMAN WAXMAN: “You found a flaw?” MR. GREENSPAN: “I found a flaw in the model that I perceived is the critical functioning structure that defines how the world works, so to speak.” CHAIRMAN WAXMAN: “In other words, you found that your view of the world, your ideology, was not right, it […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 25, 2016
THE GREAT EQUALIZER
Click to view as PDF. “Don’t you miss interest rates?” - JIM GRANT, founder, Grant’s Interest Rate Observer “The entire (financial) industry mindset is wrong here. And it’s a trap. When you promise something you can’t deliver, you structure your portfolio in ways that will kill you.” - ERIC PETERS, author of the Weekend Notes […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 18, 2016
CHANGE OF PACE
Click to view as PDF. “The mind of man at one and the same time is both the glory and the shame of the universe.” - BLAISE PASCAL, mathematician and theologian, after whom the computer language and operating system PASCAL was named CHANGE OF PACE By David Hay, Chief Investment Officer We would like to […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 11, 2016
Bulls vs. Bears
Click to view as PDF. “We really can’t forecast all that well, and yet we pretend that we can, but we really can’t.” - Alan Greenspan SUMMARY BULLISH SUMMARY - The latest growth scare is over, and the US economy is set to accelerate. - The risks that drove the latest panic in global markets […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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March 4, 2016
HUNT FOR THE TRUTH
Click to view as PDF. “There is a meaningful risk that, come November, one of the people currently running for president will win.” - Barron’s Jack Hough. “If God had wanted us to vote, he’d have given us candidates.” - Jay Leno HUNT FOR THE TRUTH By David Hay, Chief Investment Officer Almost every golfer […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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