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June 26, 2015
Calm Before the Volatility Storm?
“Never think that lack of variability is stability. Don’t confuse lack of volatility with stability, ever.” - Nassim Nicholas Taleb   CALM BEFORE THE VOLATILITY STORM? Tyler Hay I wrote this edition of the Evergreen Virtual Advisor (EVA) from my hotel room in Laguna Beach, California, looking out at the serene Pacific Ocean. The setting […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 24, 2015
Slight Positive Revision to Q1 GDP
Slight positive revision to Q1 GDP, which is still negative at -0.2%, but an improvement from -0.7%. Current expectations are calling for 2.2% for the full year with quarterly consensus estimates at 2.5%, 3.0%, and 3.0% for Q2, Q3, and Q4 respectively. Consumption was the largest positive revision, and based on auto sales, which hit […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 23, 2015
Durable Orders Disappoint
Weak release today for durable goods orders in May (April revised downward as well). This was released right after data started to finally look a bit healthier for the US economy, which highlights the world we live in with continued sluggish growth.
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 22, 2015
Weekly Insights
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 19, 2015
June 19, 2015
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 19, 2015
Evergreen Chartbook
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 15, 2015
Weekly Insights
To subscribe to Insights, email jliu@evergreengavekal.com; Note: all returns represent total return including dividends; YTD Market Style Returns are based on the Russell indices. Please see important disclosure below: DISCLOSURES: This material has been prepared or is distributed solely for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 12, 2015
June 12, 2015
“It’ll be gone by June.” - Variety magazine referring to rock ‘n roll, in 1955 “We don’t like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out.” - A Decca Records executive on declining to sign the Beatles in 1962 “Reagan doesn’t have the presidential look.” - A United Artists executive, rejecting Ronald Reagan […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 12, 2015
Guest EVA
“It’ll be gone by June.” - Variety magazine referring to rock ‘n roll, in 1955 “We don’t like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out.” - A Decca Records executive on declining to sign the Beatles in 1962 “Reagan doesn’t have the presidential look.” - A United Artists executive, rejecting Ronald Reagan […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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June 5, 2015
June 5, 2015
“Would we be in the same mess today if Lehman Brothers had been Lehman Sisters?” -New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof, in an article during the financial crisis. The price of bias. This month’s edition of the Evergreen Exchange will reflect the differing viewpoints of multiple members from our investment committee. In the spirit of […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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