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September 24, 2013
May 3, 2013
"Be patient and wait for markets to come to you.  Patience is a position, too." -JOHN MAULDIN , one of America’s most popular financial newsletter authors Will the "Curse of the Cover Story" strike again?  Sometimes a magazine cover is worth a thousand words—and hundreds of thousands in wealth preservation.  In fact, for some EVA […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 24, 2013
April 26, 2013
"Gold to me is not a commodity. It’s money." -JIM GRANT, author of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer, in a CNBC feature interview this week with Maria Bartiromo. POINTS TO PONDER 1.  Although the US mortgage market is no longer a systemic threat, student loan debt is emerging as a smaller, but still substantial, debacle.  Overall, […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 24, 2013
April 19, 2013
"The higher the stock market advances, the more reason there is to mistrust its future action.  Hence, a large advance…is basically a sign for caution and not a reason for confidence." -BEN GRAHAM; GENERALLY CONSIDERED THE FATHER OF SECURITY ANALYSIS AND CREATOR OF THE GRAHAM-DODD P/E RATIO.  The Oracles’s oracle. One of America’s least known […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 24, 2013
March 29, 2012
"The time to repair the roof is when the sun is shining." -JOHN F. KENNEDY Special message:  In the March 15th EVA, I emphasized that insider selling was running at an extreme rate.  While this is true, the day after that edition went out, the Wall Street Journal ran an article quoting an insider trading […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 24, 2013
March 22, 2013
"It’s not what you don’t know that kills you, it’s what you know for sure that ain’t true." -MARK TWAIN Often unknowingly, we perform risk-reward calculations in our daily lives. Something as basic as eating dinner at a restaurant involves risk, though you may not realize it.  You risk injury as you commute to that […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 23, 2013
March 15, 2013
"You are neither right nor wrong because the crowd disagrees with you.  You are right because your data and reasoning are right." -BEN GRAHAM, WARREN BUFFET'S STOCK MARKET MENTOR In this latest issue of Points to Ponder, we are altering our usual format a bit to include one of the more interesting items I’ve come […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 23, 2013
March 8, 2013
  "Everybody that manages money is waiting to catch the signal that the Fed will reverse course.  I think they’re on a hair trigger.  So I think the Fed will try to give little signals…but, in the end, there are an awful lot of people that want to get out of a lot of assets […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 23, 2013
March 1, 2013
"When I find myself on the side of the majority, I know it’s time to find a new place to side."  -MARK TWAIN 1.  Post-financial crisis market rallies have tended to run out of steam when Market Vane’s Bullish Consensus Stock Index has hit current levels. (See Figure 1) 2.  Although bonds have generated higher […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 20, 2013
September 20, 2013
"Forget whether one is bullish or bearish, hawkish or dovish, a Central Bank with no credibility is dangerous."  -MIKE O’ROURKE, author of The Closing Print POINTS TO PONDER 1.  Four and a half years ago, during the worst bear market since the 1930s, a vocal chorus of chronically gloomy gurus was gleefully pointing out that […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 13, 2013
September 13, 2013
"Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the hidden confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights." -ALAN GREENSPAN, 1966 It may come as somewhat of a shock to even casual EVA readers, who would have had a hard time missing my repeated […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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