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September 25, 2013
October 19, 2012
"Those who are too smart to engage in politics are punished by being governed by those who are dumber."   - PLATO "A good president is one who gets elected."   - ADOLPH MENJOU, IN THE 1948 FILM STATE OF THE UNION "The world needs honest men more than it needs presidents."   - SPENCER TRACY IN STATE […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
September 7, 2012
"The shale/tight oil boom in the United States is not a temporary bubble, but the most important revolution in the oil sector in decades."  -FROM OIL: THE NEXT REVOLUTION, BY THE BELFER CENTER AT HARVARD’S KENNEDY SCHOOL POINTS TO PONDER 1.  Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke continues to strongly imply he will launch a third round […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
August 31, 2012
"Gold was not selected arbitrarily by governments to be the monetary standard.  Gold had developed for many centuries on the free market as the best money; as the commodity providing the most stable and desirable monetary medium."  -MURRAY ROTHBARD, ECONOMIST AND PROMINENT PROPONENT OF THE AUSTRIAN SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS. There’s gold in them thar mines! […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
December 21, 2012
"The US can pay any debt it has because we can always print the money to do that." -ALAN GREENSPAN POINTS TO PONDER Special message: First of all, my Evergreen colleagues and I would like to wish all EVA readers a joyous Holiday Season.  The heartbreaking shooting last week in Connecticut is a reminder of […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
December 14, 2012
"I think that if we don’t get these politicians to come together, we face the most predictable economic crisis in history." -ERSKINE BOWLES In the wake of the US presidential election, it’s been interesting to listen to fellow Americans wax political on the issues facing our representatives in Washington.  There are frequent references to the […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
December 7, 2012
"That men do not learn very much from the lessons of history is the most important of all lessons that history has to teach." -ALDOUS HUXLEY POINTS TO PONDER 1.  The initial report on third-quarter GDP showed a respectable 2.7% growth rate, reinforcing views that the US economy is relatively robust.  Yet, based on an […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
November 30, 2012
"When is becomes serious, you must lie." -JEAN-CLAUDE JUNCKER, PRESIDENT OF THE EURO GROUP, THE ORGANIZATION OF EU FINANCE MINISTERS THAT EFFECTIVELY CONTROLS THE EURO CURRENCY It’s been my long-held belief, based on personal experience, that it really is possible to defy the laws of physics.   You can actually accelerate time and you don’t even […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
November 23, 2012
"The tax on capital gains directly affects investment decisions, the mobility and flow of risk capital" (as well as) "the ease of difficulty experienced by new ventures in obtaining capital, and thereby the strength and potential for growth in the economy." -JOHN F. KENNEDY POINTS TO PONDER 1. Over the last four years, when the […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
February 22, 2013
"The idea that policy makers can perfectly unwind (their) unprecedented easing without some unintended consequences is theoretically possible but…unlikely." -MICHAEL HASENSTAB, MANAGER OF THE FRANKLIN TEMPLETON GLOBAL BOND FUND, RANKED NUMBER ONE AMONG ITS PEERS OVER THE LAST DECADE. The cover story curse. The notion that the front covers of leading magazines are reliable contrary indicators […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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September 25, 2013
February 15, 2013
"Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell." -SIR JOHN TEMPLETON POINTS TO PONDER 1.  As our partners at GaveKal have repeatedly shown, US […]
By: Evergreen Gavekal
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